The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: Spain as a case study

Varicella zoster virus (VZV) causes varicella upon first exposure and may reactivate later in life into herpes zoster (HZ), with a risk that is thought to be reduced by re-exposures to VZV. Given the decades-long time scales of reactivation and its dependence on the accumulation of re-exposure episodes, adopting a long-term perspective may be useful to correctly interpret current epidemiological trends of VZV. In this study, we investigate the possible impact of demographic changes on varicella and HZ in Spain, using an age-structured mathematical model informed with historical demographic data and calibrated against age-specific profiles of varicella seroprevalence and HZ incidence data. The model qualitatively reproduces the remarkable growth of HZ incidence observed in Spain between 1997 and 2004, before the introduction of varicella vaccination programmes. We demonstrate that this growth may be partially ascribed to the reduction of varicella circulation that followed the overall decline of the birth rate in the twentieth century. Model predictions further suggest that, even under the most optimistic projections, HZ incidence will continue its rise until at least 2040. Considering the effect of demographic changes can help interpreting variations in epidemiological trends of HZ, contributing to a more accurate evaluation of vaccination programmes against VZV.     

Field Hypothesis on the Self-regulation of Gene Expression

The mechanism of the self-regulation of gene expression in living cells is generally explained by considering complicated networks of key-lock relationships, and in fact there is a large body of evidence on a hugenumber of key-lock relationships. However, in the present article we stress that with the network hypothesis alone it is impossible to fully explain the mechanism of self-regulation in life. Recently, it has been established that individual giant DNA molecules, larger than several tens of kilo base pairs, undergo a large discrete transition in their higher-order structure. It has become clear that nonspecific weak interactions with various chemicals, suchas polyamines, small salts, ATP and RNA, cause on/off switching in the higher-order structure of DNA. Thus, the field parameters of the cellular environment should play important roles in the mechanism of self-regulation, in addition to networks of key and locks. This conformational transition induced by field parameters may be related to rigid on/off regulation, whereas key-lock relationships may be involved in a more flexible control of gene expression.     

Local host competition in the evolution of virulence

The evolution of parasite life histories should usually have correlated effects on host survivorship and/or reproductive success. For example, parasites that reproduce more rapidly might be expected to cause greater reductions in host fitness. Important theoretical advances have recently been made on virulence evolution, but the results are not always consistent. Here I compare two models [ Q. Rev. Biol. 71 (1996) 37 ; Q. Rev. Biol. 75 (2000) 261 ] on the evolution of virulence that get qualitatively different results with respect to the effects of coinfection. I also construct a third model that attempts to connect these two formulations. The results suggest that parasite growth rates should increase as local host competition increases, unless relatedness is at equilibrium. In addition, the qualitative effect of adding coinfections on parasite growth rates depends critically on how the number of coinfections affects transmission success.     

Devitrification and recrystallization of nanoparticle-containing glycerol and PEG-600 solutions

Nanoparticles in solution offer unique electrical, mechanical and thermal properties due to their physical presence and interaction with the state of dispersion. This work is aimed to study the effects of hydroxyapatite (HA) nanoparticles on the devitrification and recrystallization events of two important cryoprotective solutions used in cell and tissue preservation namely glycerol (60% w/w) and PEG-600 (50% w/w). HA nanoparticles (20, 40 or 60 nm) were incorporated into solutions at the content of 0.1% or 0.5% (w/w), and were studied by differential scanning calorimeter (DSC) and cryomicroscopy. The presence of nanoparticles does not change the glass transition temperatures and melting temperatures of quenched solutions, but significantly affects the behavior of devitrification and recrystallization upon warming. Cryomicroscopic investigation showed the complex interactions among solution type, nanoparticle size and nanoparticle content, which apparently influence ice crystal growth or recrystallization in the quenched dispersions. These findings have significant implications for biomaterial cryopreservation, cryosurgery, and food manufacturing. The complexity of ice crystal growth kinetics in nanoparticle-containing dispersions remains to be poorly understood at the moment.     

Physiographic and climatic events in the Chihuahuan Desert lead to the speciation and distinct demographic patterns of two sister Sceloporus lizards

The biogeographic history of the Chihuahuan Desert is known to be complex, and there is evidence of the effects of physiographic and climatic events in species diversification and demographic population changes in many taxa. Here, using DNA sequence data, we studied the influence of the physiographic and climatic events that occurred in the Chihuahuan Desert during the Pliocene–Pleistocene transition on the speciation and evolutionary history of the sister lizard species Sceloporus cyanostictus and S. gadsdeni. First, based on mtDNA and nDNA sequences, we estimated the divergence times of the sister species. Then, based on mtDNA sequences, we investigated the demographic history of both species within a phylogeographic framework. The divergence time was inferred to be 1.48 Mya, date that corresponds to the existence of a large lake in the Mapimian subprovince, between the current geographic locations of S. cyanostictus and S. gadsdeni. This lake could have acted as a barrier, leading to the speciation of both species. For the demographic history of the two species, we identified two distinct patterns: the population expansion of S. gadsdeni within the Last Glacial Maximum and the potential population decline of S. cyanostictus. Our results can be used as a guide for the study of other aspects that could be critical to developing conservation actions that ensure the survival of not only S. gadsdeni and S. cyanostictus, but also other co‐occurring lizard species.     

Continental mapping of forest ecosystem functions reveals a high but unrealised potential for forest multifunctionality

Humans require multiple services from ecosystems, but it is largely unknown whether trade‐offs between ecosystem functions prevent the realisation of high ecosystem multifunctionality across spatial scales. Here, we combined a comprehensive dataset (28 ecosystem functions measured on 209 forest plots) with a forest inventory dataset (105,316 plots) to extrapolate and map relationships between various ecosystem multifunctionality measures across Europe. These multifunctionality measures reflected different management objectives, related to timber production, climate regulation and biodiversity conservation/recreation. We found that trade‐offs among them were rare across Europe, at both local and continental scales. This suggests a high potential for ‘win‐win’ forest management strategies, where overall multifunctionality is maximised. However, across sites, multifunctionality was on average 45.8‐49.8% below maximum levels and not necessarily highest in protected areas. Therefore, using one of the most comprehensive assessments so far, our study suggests a high but largely unrealised potential for management to promote multifunctional forests.